Bitcoin Plunge: Political Chaos(Assassination Attempt on Donald Trump) or Fed Policy? Here’s What’s Really Behind the $58K Drop

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The crypto world was taken by surprise as Bitcoin’s price nosedived below $60,000, hitting a low of $58,112. With market volatility still high, there are two main factors on everyone’s mind: the political chaos surrounding the 2024 U.S. presidential election, including an assassination attempt on Donald Trump, and the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting. What exactly is driving the slump, and what can traders expect next? Let’s break it down.

Political Chaos: Assassination Attempt on Donald Trump

In an unexpected twist, Donald Trump, the leading Republican presidential candidate, faced another assassination attempt, this time near his Florida golf course. While Trump remains unharmed, the unsettling event sent shockwaves through the financial markets. Historically, political events involving prominent figures like Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris can shift investor sentiment in unpredictable ways. For instance, after a previous attempt on Trump’s life in July, Bitcoin experienced a brief rally as investors speculated on Trump’s strengthened chances against President Joe Biden.

This time, however, it seems the market has reacted differently, possibly due to the growing uncertainty surrounding the election and Trump’s ongoing legal troubles. Interestingly, several Trump-related cryptocurrencies, such as MAGA and TREMP, also experienced a crash following the incident.

The US Fed Meeting: A Dynamic Shift on the Horizon?

Another significant factor looming over the markets is the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy announcement on September 18. With traders eagerly awaiting Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, the speculation surrounding a potential rate cut has added fuel to the uncertainty.

A 50 basis points (bps) rate cut could trigger a rally in stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, as lower rates generally encourage riskier asset purchases. However, there’s a 39% chance that the Fed may go for a smaller 25 bps cut, leaving traders on edge about which way the market will swing.

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

So, what does this all mean for Bitcoin in the near term? After falling to $58,112, Bitcoin now sits at a crucial juncture. Market analysts believe that the cryptocurrency needs to break above its current triangle resistance line to rally. Technically, Bitcoin is also hovering near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating sideways movement until more clarity comes from the Fed.

If the Fed delivers a bigger-than-expected rate cut, we could see a massive Bitcoin rally. However, with the ever-present threat of political turbulence, traders should brace for continued volatility in the coming days.

Conclusion

The Bitcoin price drop is a result of a complex web of political and economic factors, from the ongoing U.S. political drama to the looming Fed rate decision. While there’s potential for a recovery if the Fed’s decision aligns with investor hopes, the uncertainty surrounding both events means Bitcoin’s path forward remains anything but clear.

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